浪漫满屋

原标题：美股持续上涨是回光返照！A股震荡后静待向下变盘！中秋节假期后首日，各股指高开后震荡，沪指微幅收涨，中证1000指数小幅收跌。         Illustration: Liu Rui/GTUS Pentagon official Elbridge Colby's latest Manila speech, in which he called on allies to "invest more" in their own defense and stressed that Washington wants "partners, not protectorates," has drawn attention from some Philippine media. Colby's claims also expose the fragility of the Manila-Washington alliance and Washington's push to enlist "Indo-Pacific" allies in serving its own strategic interests, a Chinese expert said, warning that the Philippines, by placing itself on the front line of provocations against China, risks being a geopolitical pawn left to bear the consequences on its own.
While delivering a speech at the Stratbase Institute in Manila, Philippines, on Monday, Colby, the Under Secretary of War for Policy, laid out the US' so-called "flexible realism" approach to the Indo-Pacific, stressing that the US is "definitely not disengaging from Asia" but strengthening its forward posture and seeking to build a "denial defense" along the First Island Chain, according to a transcript of the speech released on the US Department of War website.
At the same time, he called on US allies and partners to step up, invest more in their own defense, and take responsibility for their own sovereign security. "We are looking for partners, not protectorates," Colby claimed.
The claims have drawn attention from some Philippine media outlets, with some linking them to the South China Sea issue. However, the transcript of Colby's speech showed that he did not mention China, the Global Times found. 
A Manila Bulletin report noted that after calling on allies to invest more in defense, Colby cited the Philippines as an example of the "kind of partner Washington wants to work with." He praised Manila for "strengthening its military and coast guard capabilities while deepening operational cooperation with the US" amid what the report described as China's "aggression" in the South China Sea.
Colby's visit to Manila marked his first official trip to Southeast Asia as an undersecretary under the Trump administration. He is scheduled to travel from Manila to Jakarta, Indonesia; Bangkok, Thailand; and Phnom Penh, Cambodia, said the report.
Meanwhile, a Manila Standard report interpreted Colby's remarks as showing that "the US is working closely with the Philippines" to strengthen Manila's military capabilities and protect its sovereign rights in the South China Sea, despite the fact that Colby did not mention China in his speech.
The US appears to be adopting a more retrenchment-style approach, shifting from leading directly to relying on regional allies to take the frontline role while providing support. This approach allows Washington to advance its interests while lowering its own costs, Song Zhongping, a Chinese military affairs expert, told the Global Times.
Song noted that Washington seeks to use repeated maritime frictions to tie down Chinese resources, which helps explain Colby's praise for Manila: the Philippines bears part of Washington's strategic burden while receiving largely rhetorical US support.
A South China Morning Post report on Tuesday noted that Colby avoided mentioning the recent disputes over Huangyan Dao, despite Washington having criticized China's establishment of a nature reserve there just two days earlier. The report described the omission as a "measured tone" ahead of a potential meeting between the Chinese and US leaders.
Washington's primary concern is its own interests. At the core of its "Indo-Pacific strategy" is strengthening its alliance network by pushing partners such as the Philippines to shoulder greater security burdens in pursuit of US strategic goals. As US-China diplomatic dynamics evolve, countries serving as Washington's geopolitical spearheads in confrontations with China risk being left behind, said some observers.
Song noted that this also reveals the fragility of the US-Philippine relationship.
The US has encouraged the Philippines to take the front line in confrontations with China while offering mostly rhetorical support. Should tensions escalate, Manila would bear much of the cost on its own, said the expert. 
。僵局没有到，接下来等待方向选择。

B | 近期美股连续反弹，截至发文，标普指数期货过了8月26日大阴线的半分位，反弹力度超预期。标普指数期货此前可看作是头肩顶结构，跌够一个量度后出现反弹，目前涨至颈线位处。日线看KDJ指标已经超卖，如果这里只是反弹，那么目前已经步入尾声。当前美股不具备反转的基础，因为美联储货币政策不会转向。当前通胀依然高企，距离其2％的目标还相差甚远。

C | 晚间美国CPI数据将公布，无论如何都不会改变美联储的本次加息的决策。

D | 数据如果基本符合预期，则是靴子落地，美股可能会震荡或下跌。数据超预期上涨是明显利空，无需多言；如果超预期下降则美股短线还会拉升，但不会因此而连续大涨形成反转。

E | A股方面，从中证1000指数来看，此前连续反弹后持续震荡，僵局未能打破。而目前日线均线粘合，后市将有大的方向选择，方向将是向下，悬念是震荡还能持续多久，“绝杀”何时出现，接下来就是耐心等待。那位做空中证的粉丝情绪再度崩溃，又说扛不住了想自杀，已经出现多次了。通常来看，已发情绪多次崩溃往往预示拐点临近，看看后面几天会不会再度出现8月24日的情形。

F | 最后希望那位做空的投资者不要从天台上纵身一跃，而是应该等待拨云见日，好好在天台上看风景……（文章来源：公 众号“黑嘴终结者”）来源：金融界返回搜狐，查看更多责任编辑：