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Czech government faces no-confidence vote in Parliament sought by ex-prime minister_我的网站

布达佩斯

一 | PRAGUE -- The Czech coalition government on Tuesday faced a parliamentary no-confidence vote over opposition claims that it is incompetent in handling the economy and in controlling immigration.The main opposition centrist ANO (YES) movement led by populist billionaire Andrej Babis accused the government of failing to deal with high inflation driven by energy prices and a new wave of migration, among other issues. Inflation has been on the decline this year, dropping from 17.5% in January to 6.9% in September.The government has rejected the allegations.The two opposition parties, including ANO and the anti-migrant Freedom and Direct Democracy party, are unlikely to oust the five-party coalition government led by Prime Minister Petr Fiala, which has a comfortable majority in the lower house of Parliament.Babis, the former prime minister, also accused the government of caring more about Ukraine than about Czech citizens. The country has been a staunch supporter of Ukraine in its fight against Russian military aggression and has accepted over 350,000 people who fled the war. In early October, the government temporarily reintroduced checks along the border with Slovakia in an effort to stem a flow of migrants.The formal reason given for the no-confidence motion was Fiala’s refusal to accept an opposition demand that he dismiss his interior minister because he used a cellphone that was impossible to eavesdrop. Babis claimed Interior Minister Vit Rakusan had it to communicate with organized crime but offered no evidence.Czech lawmakers were debating the no-confidence motion, the third since the government took over after a 2021 election, with a vote expected late Tuesday or on Wednesday.Babis has also criticized a government package designed to keep the ballooning budget deficit under control. According to the plan, which still needs approval from the Senate and President Petr Pavel, Czech citizens would pay more for beer and medicine and businesses would face higher corporate taxes.。当前，百年变局加速演变，国际形势变乱交织。在充满不确定性的环境下，国际油价风险对国内实体经济和金融体系构成严重的外溢冲击，风险防范形势日趋严峻。立足全球不确定性背景，解析国际油价冲击对中国股市的影响机制，已成为保障能源安全与维护金融稳定的紧迫现实课题。　　中国矿业大学丁志华教授、刘振华副教授团队所著《不确定性视角下国际油价对中国股市的影响研究》一书，聚焦石油金融前沿问题，从不确定性新视角系统揭示国际油价对中国股市的影响机制，为政府和监管部门识别国际油价风险传导路径、完善风险治理提供了重要参考。　　纵观全书，其特色与创新主要体现在以下三个方面：　　一是理论视角新颖。该书创新性提出了经济政策不确定性在原油和股市联动关系中兼具内在渠道和外生冲击双重属性理论，区分了经济政策不确定性的内外部来源，揭示了内外部经济政策不确定性在油价冲击影响股市关系中的差异化作用机理，拓展了原油与股市联动关系的理论视角。

二 | 　　二是研究内容丰富。该书从整体市场和行业股市两个维度出发，不仅识别了不同经济政策不确定性水平下原油与股市信息溢出的关键路径、关键行业、关联结构及动态演变，还考察了不确定性条件下油价信息对股市波动的预测能力，丰富了原油与股市影响关系的研究内容。　　三是研究方法前沿。该书综合运用计量经济学、管理科学、网络拓扑理论等多学科理论，提出了包含马尔科夫区制转移过程的混频数据模型，能够识别不同市场状态下政策不确定性的异质性影响，丰富了政策评估和风险管理研究的方法工具。　　全书结构合理、思路清晰、数据翔实、论证严密，提出了新理论，发展了新方法，取得了新成果，是能源金融交叉领域的一项高质量研究成果。该书的出版，不仅丰富完善了石油金融风险管理的理论体系，也为中国防范国际油价冲击风险、保障能源安全提供了有力的决策参考。